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Posts Tagged ‘General Election 2015’

To be elected in 2020, the Labour Party needs to confront one problem above all others.

And that problem is that it is seen as the party of poor people.

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Yorkshire and the Midlands have traditionally been where British elections are won and lost. Yorkshire is perhaps the most demographically and geographically diverse region in England and its distribution of seats goes from the huge sprawling cities of Leeds and Bradford to the small villages that make up a massive constituency such as Haltonprice and Howdon. Whichever party performs best in Yorkshire will probably have the most seats in the new House of Commons on Friday morning. Here are my seven seats to watch.

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The first thing to say about this particular region is that it’s an entirely LibDem free zone. That won’t be unusual after Thursday but today it’s noticeable. If UKIP has a very good night it may win one seat and the party’s voters may determine the balance between Labour and the Conservatives in a number of seats. Still, this is the purest Labour-Conservative contest in the country.

These are my seven seats to watch in the East Midlands:

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The South West of England has since 1997 been the definition of a two party state. Since 1979 the Lib Dems and the Conservatives have been steadily eradicating Labour from this part of the country and in what looks to be set to be a dreadful general election for them, the South West may be the saving grace for the Lib Dems. There is contradictory polling evidence as to how bleak the picture is for the Lib Dems for this part of the country. COMRES has the Lib Dems being all but wiped out whilst other constituency level polling has the Lib Dems holding half or more of their seats. What the true picture is we will only know on May 7th. Without further ado then, here are my seven seats to watch. (more…)

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An ignorant Englishman he may be, but Will Cooling thinks the lack of outrage about Sinn Fein refusing to take their seats in what promises to be most finely balanced Parliament since before the Second Reform Act is very strange. 

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The West Midlands is a region packed with Lab-Con marginals and it is no great surprise that the party leaders have already spent a great deal of time in this region. In 2010 the Conservatives did better in the West Midlands than they did in the UK as a whole. Because of this most of these marginals are defended by Conservatives and if Labour has any hope not only of winning a majority, but even of becoming the largest party, they will have to do well in this region. As for the Lib Dems, this is a particularly barren region for them. They only hold two seats and might lost both of them. Here are my seven seats to watch. (more…)

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Labour Party may be ahead in the polls but it has one fundamental weakness in this campaign – it is fighting on so many different fronts simultaneously. Bizarrely Ed Miliband has demanded that he gatecrash tonights BBC’s ‘Challengers Debate’ in a move that can only damagingly expose the tensions at the heart of his Labour Party.

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